‎Peter F.

I write about the economy, business, the stock market, and other publicly traded markets. This includes principles, methodologies for success (old & new) and news.

Cyberattack on Leading Trading Data Service Provider ION Group Exposes Commodity Market Manipulation Risks?

Investing Pioneer – 2/10/2023 – 3:34 EST   Market watchers still await the next Commitments of Traders (COT) report by the CFTC, providing insights into aggregate commodities trading data. Now, it is 17 days since the latest release – a report that is typically updated on a weekly basis (Friday at 3:30 p.m. eastern time). …

Cyberattack on Leading Trading Data Service Provider ION Group Exposes Commodity Market Manipulation Risks? Read More »

The Federal Reserve’s Effect on Stock Market Liquidity

The business cycle is no longer reflected in changes in stock market liquidity since the Greenspan era. Investing Pioneer  – 2/8/2023 – 1:38 PM EST The presence of a central bank has significant implications for the cycle of liquidity, and how that corresponds to the business cycle. From 1947 to 2008, a strong correlation between …

The Federal Reserve’s Effect on Stock Market Liquidity Read More »

Wealth Destruction in Times of Crisis: What It Is and What It Means

Investing Pioneer –  1/30/2023 – 1:28 PM EST As we enter the approaching economic storm, discussing the following concept I think is timely. The concept is wealth destruction. Take FTX. It went from the market valuing the assets at billions of dollars to a dissolution much faster than it was created. When value is destroyed, …

Wealth Destruction in Times of Crisis: What It Is and What It Means Read More »

Buffett’s Warning on the Perils of Short-term Thinking: An Examination of the Negative Effects of Earnings Estimates and Forward-looking Statements

WASHINGTON, DC, USA – SEPTEMBER 4, 1991 Rob Crandall / Shutterstock.com Investing Pioneer – 4:35 PM EST – 1/27/2023 Short-term thinking can be the root of eventual failure or sub-par performance for any venture. Businesses are no expectations. In the last few years, Buffett has called on companies to stop short-term guidance statements, by virtue …

Buffett’s Warning on the Perils of Short-term Thinking: An Examination of the Negative Effects of Earnings Estimates and Forward-looking Statements Read More »

Dealing with Mistakes

Making mistakes in the world of investing is normal for all levels of expertise. The mistakes may have been within the bounds of the investment strategy, negating the argument that any fundamental problem  may have been at hand. In that context, its even possible there is a relatively low possibility of any net marked improvement. …

Dealing with Mistakes Read More »

Federal Reserve announces 50 basis point rate hike amid concerns over economy: A review of the Summary of Economic Projections

Investing Pioneer – 5:17 PM EST – 12/14/2022 The Federal Reserve commenced its FOMC meeting today. Fed chairman Powell spoke at 2:30 PM EST, discussing the path forward. The day also saw the announcement of the 50 basis point rate hike, a consensus leading up to the meeting that was shared by 100% (85/85) of …

Federal Reserve announces 50 basis point rate hike amid concerns over economy: A review of the Summary of Economic Projections Read More »

White House says the U.S. will use available tools to disrupt the Iran-Russia relationship.

USA, Iran and Russia flag together on a textured wall – Shutterstock Investing Pioneer – 12:00 PM EST – 12/14/2022  Recent technological advancements in military technology means some countries are trying to extend their geo-political influence or secure a seat in a world where expansionist wars and operations such as the invasion of Ukraine succeed. …

White House says the U.S. will use available tools to disrupt the Iran-Russia relationship. Read More »

Oil Glut? 1-Year WTI Crude Futures Spread Flips to Contango for the First Time in Over a Year

Industry oil barrels – Shutterstock Investing Pioneer – 8:40 PM EST – 12/13/2022 On December 9th, for the first time since November 2020, the 1-year WTI (West Texas Intermediate) Crude oil futures spread flipped to contango, meaning there is a price premium for further dated futures contracts (in part an inherent byproduct of making up …

Oil Glut? 1-Year WTI Crude Futures Spread Flips to Contango for the First Time in Over a Year Read More »

Russia Boosts Natural Gas Exports to China to New Highs

The power of Siberia, gas pipeline | Shutterstock Investing Pioneer – 10:05 PM  EST – 12/10/2022   Despite the frequently fraught nature of their geopolitical relationship, Europe had long been dependent on Russia for a steady supply of natural gas. This reliance means that any sudden disruption in gas deliveries could have a destabilizing effect …

Russia Boosts Natural Gas Exports to China to New Highs Read More »

Sovereign Debt: History and Consequences of Excessive Debt

  Sovereign debt, the lifeblood of nations throughout history, must not exceed the country’s ability to service and repay it. Often in the form of bonds, investors and nations provide currency to the government in exchange for bond certificates ensuring repayment plus interest. During times of crisis or need, bonds can be crucial for ensuring …

Sovereign Debt: History and Consequences of Excessive Debt Read More »